What the philosophers learned
The Mandate of Heaven: Confucius and Mencius
When the Zhou overthrew the Shang, they explained it with a new idea: Heaven grants the right to rule to the virtuous and withdraws it from tyrants. Confucius built a philosophy of government on it, in which a ruler leads by moral example rather than force.
“He who exercises government by means of his virtue may be compared to the north polar star, which keeps its place, and all the stars turn towards it.”Analects 2.1 (tr. James Legge)
Mencius went further. Asked whether killing the last Shang king had been regicide, he answered that a ruler who destroys benevolence and righteousness is no ruler, only “a mere fellow” (Mencius 1B8). Rebellion against a tyrant could be just.
Power without justice: Thucydides
In 416 BCE Athens demanded that the small island of Melos submit. In Thucydides' retelling, the Athenian envoys refuse to discuss justice at all:
“The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.”Thucydides, History of the Peloponnesian War 5.89 (tr. Richard Crawley)
Athens destroyed Melos. A few years later its own empire collapsed. The Melian Dialogue is still read as the founding text of political realism, and as a warning about what empire does to the people who run it.
The cycle of governments: Polybius
The Greek historian Polybius, taken to Rome as a hostage, tried to explain how Rome had conquered the Mediterranean in barely fifty years. Governments, he argued, turn in a cycle: kingship decays into tyranny, aristocracy into oligarchy, democracy into mob rule, and the cycle starts again. Rome's “mixed constitution”, balancing consuls, senate and people, slowed the decay but could not stop it.
Polybius, Histories, Book VI
The circle of kingdoms: Chanakya
“The king who is situated anywhere immediately on the circumference of the conqueror’s territory is termed the enemy.”Chanakya, Arthashastra, Book VI
Chanakya's mandala theory sees states arranged in rings: your neighbour is your natural rival, and your neighbour's neighbour your natural friend. It is one of the earliest systematic theories of international relations, written as advice to the founder of the Maurya empire.
Conquest and remorse: Ashoka
Chandragupta Maurya's grandson Ashoka conquered Kalinga around 261 BCE. In his Rock Edict XIII he records the deaths and deportations of more than a hundred thousand people, and his deep remorse. Afterwards he declared that the only true conquest was conquest by dhamma, righteousness, and had his principles of tolerance and non-violence carved on rocks and pillars across India.
Two cities: Augustine
When the Visigoths sacked Rome in 410 CE, many blamed Christianity for the city's fall. Augustine answered with The City of God (413–426). There are two cities, he wrote: an earthly one built on love of self, and a heavenly one built on love of God. Earthly empires always fall; the mistake is to put ultimate hope in them.
Augustine, The City of God XIV.28
Why dynasties decay: Ibn Khaldun
In 1377 the North African scholar Ibn Khaldun wrote the Muqaddimah, an introduction to history that many call the first work of sociology. Dynasties, he argued, are founded by hardy groups bound by strong solidarity, asabiyya. Success brings cities and luxury, solidarity weakens, and within a few generations the dynasty falls to a new group with the strength it has lost.
Ozymandias
Percy Bysshe Shelley's sonnet of 1818, inspired by a broken statue of Ramesses II, is the shortest lesson on empire ever written. A ruined statue's pedestal still boasts of its maker's greatness:
“‘My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings; Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!’ Nothing beside remains.”Percy Bysshe Shelley, “Ozymandias” (1818)